Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 19.864322 22.486886 25.346272 28.698596 32.525379 36.762474 41.816309
2025-02-09 15.716310 19.198887 23.311551 28.540298 35.031044 42.849214 53.019236
2025-02-16 12.594656 16.392017 21.185828 27.711907 36.412042 47.676874 63.474659
2025-02-23 10.450962 14.358463 19.581662 27.125127 37.825732 52.587325 74.713109
2025-03-02 8.906989 12.827599 18.336743 26.717611 39.277691 57.611035 86.782290
2025-03-09 7.812363 11.733315 17.494310 26.677376 41.140520 63.363875 100.713392
2025-03-16 6.920853 10.793353 16.716275 26.565139 42.793918 68.929195 115.122529
2025-03-23 6.420499 10.373598 16.652756 27.520204 46.213649 77.699963 136.113208
2025-03-30 5.833508 9.730359 16.135095 27.629591 48.191162 84.276622 154.275721
2025-04-06 5.205483 8.936385 15.260817 26.992025 48.740745 88.374941 168.484762
2025-04-13 4.699144 8.287723 14.549997 26.532995 49.512873 92.916723 184.158428
2025-04-20 4.441310 8.046199 14.521671 27.304745 52.666702 102.331290 210.973516
2025-04-27 4.248902 7.913045 14.694096 28.518622 56.931873 114.705094 246.464405
2025-05-04 3.963946 7.574345 14.444166 28.878210 59.543664 124.148206 277.423532
2025-05-11 3.602656 7.047341 13.770620 28.293249 60.103623 129.356026 299.801938
2025-05-18 3.294872 6.592120 13.187027 27.818241 60.828667 135.023260 324.297451
2025-05-25 3.032942 6.201182 12.689420 27.461251 61.760148 141.284653 351.398400
2025-06-01 2.830098 5.911016 12.368584 27.450594 63.479268 149.632386 385.361724
2025-06-08 2.639707 5.626753 12.028244 27.350216 64.968003 157.644115 419.976323
2025-06-15 2.552807 5.558510 12.151543 28.343248 69.259077 173.287055 478.551013
2025-06-22 2.407119 5.343378 11.921594 28.460098 71.367924 183.658059 524.276831
2025-06-29 2.221306 5.017696 11.403599 27.804129 71.387348 188.495195 554.697132
2025-07-06 2.065074 4.744901 10.980148 27.331386 71.820092 194.509854 589.879302